The Pass Simulator

What it needs from you before it will answer.

The simulator answers one question: given how this actually trades, what are the odds of passing the evaluation, and then of reaching the first payout on the funded account, before breaking one of the rules. The rules are yours to enter — it holds no list of firms, so nothing in it can go out of date behind your back.

It needs one of
Your own days
The daily results your accounts already produced on Tradeus — the same per-day figure the calendar and the journal report.
A strategy
Its win rate and reward-to-risk, pasted trades, or an imported CSV of results, from which it takes the distribution.
And the rules, from your firm's current terms
Evaluation
Profit target and max loss (both required), the drawdown type — end-of-day trailing, intraday trailing or static, and where a trailing floor stops — then a daily loss limit, a consistency rule, minimum trading days and a time limit, each only if your firm has one.
Funded, to the first payout
Optional. The profit a payout needs, its own consistency rule and minimum days, and winning days of at least a set size. Max loss and the daily limit are the evaluation's unless you enter others (0 for no daily limit). Fill it in and the page adds the chance of a first payout, and of getting there from the start of the evaluation.
On your own days
A daily loss limit is not applied. A day total does not show where inside the day the limit would have fired, so your days run as you traded them, and the strip marks the limit as not applied. It is applied to a described strategy, trade by trade.
Kept
Your rules are remembered in this browser, and fold into a strip once there is an account to simulate. Edit rules opens them again.
A consistency rule keeps you trading
The share is measured against the net profit, losing days included. When the target is reached while one day is more than that share, the account does not fail. It trades on until its best day is back inside the limit — or until the floor or the time limit ends it first. That wait is what the rule costs, and the page shows how often it held a run back, for the evaluation and for the funded account.
It prints nothing without input
The page used to ship example strategies and invented firms and report a confident probability from them. Nobody had traded them. A pass probability is the figure someone sizes a $300 evaluation against, so with nothing supplied it now says nothing at all.

Also in Prop evaluations